At the end of the first week of 2024 the S&P 500 breached the Yearly Mid (R)esistence Level 1 (YMR1) at 4,781 to the upside. In March the S&P 500 consolidated above the YR1, and on April 1 we saw a reversal at the (Q)arterly (M)id (R)esistence Level 1 (QMR1) at 5,228.
The third down week of April (the third week of the second quater) took out the March low and now trades below the second quarters (Q)uarterly (P)ivot (P)oint (QPP) at 5,059 at the lower channel line that includes all price action since the October 27, 2023 low.
The entire first quarter of 2024 extended the 2023 fourth quarter's upswing (X). In terms of ICT Seasonality and the Quarterly Theory 2024 has an XAMD pattern. April and May should be (A)ccumulation, May to November (M)anipulation, and November to year end directional Distribution. Monday, April 1 - the 90th calendar day of 2024 and the first trading day of the second quarter - made a new high and turned down. QMS1 at 4,956, QS1 at 4,851 and YMR1 at 4,781 are the next downside targets.
Everything is timed and measured.
Third week and three pushes to the downside. From 5,278 to 5,000.
Some 90 points per week.
April 19 (Fri) or April 22 (Mon) daily reversal likely.
First upside target: low of week two = YR1 at 5,110.
Downside targets: QMS1 at 4,965 and QS1 at 4,853.
Know the function of 50.05 % retracements. Understand the calculation of so called 'Pivot Point's', 'Supply & Demand' or 'Orderblock' levels in any segment and time-frame of all Market Maker Models/Market Making Schemes. The Three Day Cycle. The Three Week Cycle. And Price and Time as easy as One-Two-Three: 1 + 1; 2+1 ; 3+1; 1*1 ; 2*2 ; 3*3 and 1/1 ; 1/2 ; 1/3 and 1/4. Today (Thursday, April 18) is Trading Day 9 since the April 1st reversal (excluding the inside days).
We came down from 5,478 to the quarterly Pivot Level at 5,059. This is now the most important reference level for any market move into end of June.
This year is Year 4 in the (36-54 months long = 12-18 quarters) so called Four Year Cycle. The 2024 Yearly Pivot Point/Level
as well as the 2024 second quarter's Pivot Point/Level are all the way down around 4,456.