Showing posts with label Alphee Lavoie. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Alphee Lavoie. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

SPX vs AstroMetric Indicator | Update - October 12, 2016

Upcoming turn-days:
Oct 13 (Thu) H, Oct 14 (Fri) L, Oct 15 (Sat) H, Oct 16 (Sun) L, Oct 17 (Mon) H, Oct 18 (Tue) L, Oct 21 (Fri) H.
See also HERE.
Neural Network-Forecast for SPY = inverted polarity | by Alphee Lavoie (HERE)

Sunday, September 25, 2016

Sandy Jadeja: September 26th Potential Market Crash

Source: Business Insider (Aug 26, 2016)
JFYI: Someone just wrote me stating that In an earlier version of the above Business Insider article
Sandy Jadeja's crash date was not September 26th but the 15th! However, couldn't find the earlier version.
Alphee Lavoie's Neural Network-Forecast for the SPY (inverted correclation - HERE)

Friday, July 29, 2016

SPX vs Inverted 354 CD (Lunar Year) Cycle

The Lunar Year Cycle (Medium Term Delta) seems to have inverted recently (from L-L and H-H polarity to L-H and H-L polarity).
If the current polarity persists a major high in the S&P500 by mid August is likely.
SPY | Neural Network-Forecast | by Alphee Lavoie

Monday, October 19, 2015

SPX vs JUP-SAT Cycle

The Jupiter-Saturn Cycle pointed to the market turn last Thursday (Oct 15, 2015). The next CIT should be Oct 23 (Fri). The Solunar Map hints
to a short-term market low on Tuesday, October 20 and another rise into the end of this week. This would be in line also with Alphee Lavoie's
and Mike Korrell's forecasts of another week sideways to up in stocks. 
Credits: BusinessInsider and Deutsche Bank

Sunday, April 21, 2013

DJI vs Bradley Index

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution (see also HERE)
CITs in this optimized Bradley Index:
 2013-01-13 (Sun)
2013-01-24 (Thu)
2013-02-07 (Thu)
2013-02-11 (Mon)
2013-02-14 (Thu)
2013-02-25 (Mon)
2013-03-11 (Mon)
2013-03-28 (Thu)
2013-04-11 (Thu)
2013-04-21 (Sun) 

Credits: Francis Bussiere - HERE
2013-04-28 (Sun)
2013-05-03 (Fri)
2013-05-10 (Fri)
2013-05-20 (Mon)
2013-05-26 (Sun)
2013-06-08 (Sat)
2013-06-21 (Fri)
2013-07-29 (Mon)
2013-08-15 (Thu)
2013-08-23 (Fri)
2013-09-01 (Sun)
2013-09-16 (Mon)
2013-09-30 (Mon)
2013-10-15 (Tue)
2013-10-20 (Sun)
2013-11-05 (Tue)
2013-11-15 (Fri)
2013-11-27 (Wed)
2013-12-14 (Sat)
2013-12-27 (Fri)
2014-01-07 (Tue)

2014-01-09 (Thu)
Credits: Alphee Lavoie - HERE
Credits: Mike Korell - HERE
2014-01-13 (Mon)
2014-02-06 (Thu)
2014-02-09 (Sun)
2014-02-14 (Fri)
2014-03-17 (Mon)
2014-04-13 (Sun)
2014-04-23 (Wed)
2014-05-12 (Mon)
2014-05-21 (Wed)
2014-06-01 (Sun)
2014-06-19 (Thu)
2014-07-06 (Sun)
2014-07-17 (Thu)
2014-07-23 (Wed)
2014-08-04 (Mon)
2014-08-11 (Mon)
2014-08-16 (Sat)
2014-08-30 (Sat)

2014-09-03 (Wed)
2014-09-13 (Sat)
2014-09-21 (Sun)
2014-10-02 (Thu)
2014-10-08 (Wed)
2014-10-18 (Sat)
2014-11-03 (Mon)
2014-11-23 (Sun)
2014-12-16 (Tue)
2014-12-24 (Wed)
2015-01-11 (Sun)


See also HERE & HERE



HERE

Tuesday, December 25, 2012

Friday, December 21, 2012

Declinations 2013

Declinations: How they affect the stock market.
A case study by Sergey Tarassov HERE

SUN parallel MAR 12/12/2012
MER par PLU 12/14/2012
JUP contra parallel MER 12/18/2012
PLU par VEN 12/19/2012
MER par MAR 12/21/2012 + SUN @ extremum South
JUP c.p VEN 12/24/2012
MAR par VEN 12/25/2012
SUN par MER 12/26/2012
JUP c.p MAR 12/27/2012
MAR par PLU 01/03/2013
SUN par VEN 01/04/2013


See also HERE
Calculate formula (MAR_DEC+MERC_DEC)-VEN_DEC HERE

Monday, August 6, 2012

STD Red Week (August 6 - 10)

For previous Short-Term-Delta Red Weeks in the S&P 500 see also HERE

STD Red Weeks oftentimes are trenders from Tuesday open to Friday open.  Monday and Friday often reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. This is the STD Red Week's pattern:



Alex Roslin's - COTs Timer (Aug 4)
Smart Money Commercial Hedgers dump S&P 500, COT signal flips to bearish

David Hickson - Hurst cycles (Aug 4)
We are expecting the 80-day cycle peak to form in the US markets soon, after which there will be a fall into the 80-day cycle trough which is expected in late August.
[Hurst triad] lines are presently projecting a target for the peak of 1400-1420.

Mike Burk - Seasonality (Aug 4)
As measured by the S&P 500 August has been, by far, the strongest month of the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle. I expect the major averages to be higher on Friday August 10 than they were on Friday August 3.



www.chartsedge.com
www.alphee.com
www.astrocycle.net
The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) broke above resistance from the July highs
and remains in an uptrend, but a spinning top formed on Friday.
These candlesticks show indecision and the prior two foreshadowed
pullbacks within the uptrend [Arthur Hill]

Sunday, July 29, 2012

STD Blue Week (July 30 - August 3)

For previous Short-Term-Delta Blue Weeks in the S&P 500 see also HERE

During July each rally has led to higher highs before being sold off by about 50 points. Each of the lows has been accompanied by positive divergences. Short term momentum ended last week extremely overbought. Various indications point to a small pullback before the stock market moves higher. Such a pullback might last for only one day. The FOMC is coming up on Wednesday, August 1st. Normally a new month brings in new money producing higher prices in the later part of the week, August 1-3. However, on Monday the market is likely to dip and then be alert for whether Thursday, August 2 will be a high or low. A pullback may only retest the 1350's to 1360 (HERE).

The latest COT-signals are bullish for SPX and silver, but bearish for NDX and natural gas, while copper goes to cash after two weeks bearish, and the 30-year Treasury bond goes bearish (HERE).

www.chartsedge.com
www.alphee.com
www.astrocycle.net

Sunday, July 8, 2012

STD Red Week (July 9-13)

STD Red Weeks are trenders from Tuesday open to Friday open.  Monday and Friday often reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. So this STD Red Week's pattern should be
  • down into Tuesday AM around 11:00 - 13:00
  • reversing Monday's loss by rising up from the Tuesday low into Thursday 10:00 +/- 1 hour.
In case one is short, don't hold longer than Tuesday open, maybe close out near the close on Monday.  If a convincing move, reverse the trade some time Tuesday.  

The bias of the S&P 500 in the Election Year Seasonal Chart is up.

US stock indices are expected to rise into July 18 (Wed)
2012-07-17 02:57 (Tue) = VEN 45° URA [helio]
2012-07-17 06:13 (Tue) = MER 60° NEP [helio]
2012-07-17 07:42 (Tue) = MAR 120° JUP = Level 2
2012-07-17 14:59 (Tue) = MAR 90° PLU  = Level 2
2012-07-18 00:00 (Wed) = New Moon
2012-07-18 21:36 (Wed) = MAR 180° URA = Level 1
2012-07-18 18:34 (Wed) = MER 90° URA [helio]
2012-07-18 18:36 (Wed) = VEN 45° PLU [helio]
2012-07-19 16:33 (Thu) = MER 0° PLU [helio]
More info on the Mars-Uranus Crash Cycle HERE + HERE



















































www.chartsedge.com

www.alphee.com


www.cyclelt.com
www.danericselliottwaves.blogspot.com
"The uptrend has progressed from SPX 1267 to 1363, Minor wave 1. Then pulled back to SPX 1309/10/13, Minor wave 2. The recent rally to SPX 1375 looks like Minute wave i, with friday’s 1348 low Minute wave ii of Minor 3. While a further pullback for Minute ii is possible we think it’s unlikely at this time since the market did get quite oversold. Once the SPX clears the 1358 level we believe the uptrend should resume to new highs. ... Short term support is at the SPX 1342/47 area and then 1334/38. Overhead resistance is at the 1363 and 1372 pivots. Short term momentum hit quite oversold on friday before rebounding toward neutral. The short term OEW charts remain positive with the swing point still around SPX 1350." [www.caldaro.wordpress.com]



































www.ttheory.com





















www.astrocycle.net

Monday, June 25, 2012

STD Yellow Week (June 25-29)


This coming week will be a Short-Term-Delta Yellow Week with a yellow Monday and a yellow Friday. Last Friday, June 23rd, the SPX closed near the day's high and we expect the STD-pattern to continue without inversion. Then this week should be tracing out some sort of a choppy W-shape. And according to the STD-Theory Monday-Tuesday should repeat last Thursday-Friday:
DOWN from a Monday (June 25) morning HIGH (high of the week) into the close of Tuesday June 26 (low of the week).    
This pattern makes sense even more since last Friday was a NR7-day (see HERE). However, other cycle projections suggest that the week's pattern would be as follows (see HERE + HERE + Mike Korell's ChartEdge-forecast below):
chopping up into the week's HIGH on Tuesday June 26, from there hard down into the low of the week on Wednesday June 27, a turn day
The Weekly Pivot-Point and Support-Resistance-Levels for the E-mini S&P 500 September are: 
R3 1,352.75
R2 1,344.25
R1 1,340.50
PP 1,335.75
S1 1,332.00
S2 1,327.25
S3 1,318.75
S4 1,310.25
STD Blue- and STD Yellow-days and -weeks are choppy and reportedly hard to trade, and some ST- traders recommend to go fishing instead. This notion is supported by the forthcoming Astro-Events suggesting potential CITs for almost every day:
2012-06-23-26 (Sat-Tue) = Tidal CIT
2012-06-25 01:42 (Mon) = SAT (D) = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-25 02:25 (Mon) = JUP 90° NEP = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-27 00:00 (Wed) = MAR 90° Galactic Center
2012-06-27 10:05 (Wed) = VEN (D) = Level 1 = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-28-29 (Thu-Fri) = Tidal CITs
2012-06-29 00:00 (Fri) = AI-CIT - Value = 7
2012-06-29 09:44 (Fri) = SUN 180° PLU = Merriman Level 3 - Turnday
2012-06-29 15:00 (Fri) = SUN 90° URA  = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday


















www.chartsedge.com





























www.alpheefinance.com












































Tony Caldaro's Weekend Update (June 23, 2012) 
The recent rally from SPX 1267 to 1363 started off impulsively as it was unfolding. We were expecting the rally to reach either the 1363 or 1372 pivots in a five wave sequence ahead of the FOMC meeting. The pattern, unfortunately, looked like three waves on tuesday as the FOMC began. After tuesday’s high, and wednesday’s volatility, the market sold off on thursday to SPX 1324. This selloff overlapped the first rally from SPX 1267 to 1329/36. This made the entire June rally look corrective. As a result we have labeled the SPX 1267 low as a wave A, and the recent rally as a wave B. The most probable scenario suggests a wave C is underway to either retest the June lows or make a lower low in early July.

Dan Eric's Elliott Wave Update (22 June 2012)

www.danericselliottwaves.blogspot.com 
It would be ideal for the wave structure if Monday made a quick lower low beneath Thursday's low prior to any retrace into 1346 - the bottom of wave i. This would complete a small 5 wave pattern down from the recent rally high peak of 1363.46.


Saturday, June 23, 2012

SLTD Roadmap - Big Delta Picture

Quite a few fundamental and technical odds seem to be against the following SLTD projection, and E-wavers predict the third-of-the-third-wave anew these days. However, the 40 Year Cycle worked well so far and suggests a rally with a higher HIGH in late August before declining into May 2014.   
2012-06-26 (Tue) = High
2012-06-27 (Wed) = Low
2012-07-03 (Tue) = High
2012-07-04 (Wed) = Low
2012-07-30 (Mon) = High
2012-08-08 (Wed) = Low
2012-08-29 (Wed) = High

See HERE & HERE & HERE

# 10 in this chart = # 16 in the chart below
 




www.alphee.com